Russians vs Fraternity: Major Players and Context

JMoravia 2019-03-04

Header Art by Empanada

New Eden is gearing up for war again with the recent announcement that several major Russian alliances have banded together to form a single coalition with the goal of destroying or displacing Fraternity (FRT) from the galactic southeast. As is usually the case, this war will not be limited to “Russia versus Fraternity;” other interested parties from around the galaxy, with their own goals and motivations, will likely pile on.

So just who are the major players likely to be in this complicated situation?

Russian Coalition

Members: Red Menace Coalition, Legion of Death, RAZOR Alliance
Likelihood of full-scale deployment: 100%

With Red Menace and XIX spearheading this conflict together, we are seeing an historic moment in EVE Online. For a large number of years, the Russian playerbase has been splintered as a result of old grudges and a persisting schism. When this unexpected, and as-yet-unnamed, alliance combines these groups, and with both looking for more permanent homes – RMC having just left Period Basis, and XIX having been growing their strength in Catch, secured by LegacyCo – it would be a poor time for anyone in the South-East to be lax in securing their space. That said, our information suggests that XIX cannot engage in a major campaign until the LegacyCo NIP with WinterCo ends in roughly two weeks, giving savvy defenders time to prepare.

Winter Coalition

Members: Fraternity., STARCHASER Alliance
Likelihood of full-scale deployment: 100%

Winter Coalition, led by Fraternity, are a group of players who began their journey on Tranquility only eighteen months or so ago, when a significant group of players migrated from Serenity. In the intervening time, they have largely gone from strength to strength, though they bit off slightly more than they could chew over the summer of 2018. In the last major conflict Winter Coalition engaged with, they fought alongside Pandemic Legion, the Holy Rental Empire, and Triumvirate in an attempt to bring Legacy Coalition to their knees. While they failed in their overall objective, they secured a Non-Invasion Pact with LegacyCo which will end in the next few weeks, and have used the time to build their combat capabilities, as their recent assassination of a Legacy Komodo shows.

Legacy Coalition

Members: Test Alliance Please Ignore (TEST), Brave Collective, Evictus, Requiem Eternal, Many Others
Likelihood of full-scale deployment: Extremely High
On which side: Russians

Legacy and Fraternity have a long history of hostilities, and spent most of 2018 at each other’s throats. The fighting was mostly one-sided, with Legacy winning handily in three different campaigns: one in the spring, another during the summer war, and a third immediately after the summer war was over. The two sides are still fighting to this day, and it’s hard to imagine that Legacy will not jump at the chance to continue brutalizing FRT.

Pandemic Family

Members: Pandemic Horde (Horde), Pandemic Legion (PL), Northern Coalition., others
Likelihood of full-scale deployment: Very high
On which side: FRT

Like Legacy and Fraternity, Horde and TEST have already been engaged in hostilities for several months. TEST’s decision to drop a Keepstar in the high-sec system of Perimeter, next door to Jita, disrupted the substantial amount of income Horde had been making from their uncontested monopoly of Perimeter trading. The two groups have been fighting for approximately four months, and although the war started out with TEST welping two significant dreadnought fleets, the ISK losses between the sides are nearly identical now. Horde will almost certainly seize this opportunity for a wider-scale campaign against TEST, although it is possible PanFam may not get involved at first and may instead wait until TEST is fully committed against FRT before launching a surprise attack.

Holy Rental Empire

Members: skill urself, Circle of Hell, Others
Likelihood of full-scale deployment: Extremely High
On which side: Probably FRT

Most of the alliances that formed the HRE are PvP specialist alliances, which is why their income stream is renting out space rather than farming it themselves. Because of this, they are almost certain to be involved – at least in some form – in any fight that happens on their back doorstep. This may involve taking a side, or it may involve third-partying a different group every day. Notably, skill urself have a long history with Pandemic Horde, and may get involved against TEST as a result. The HRE will have to carefully decide to what extent they want to be involved, or they risk losing large amounts of their own territory to furious Russians and residents of Tenerifis hungry for more space.

The Imperium

Members: Goonswarm Federation, The Initiative, TNT, Bastion, LAWN
Likelihood of full-scale deployment: Unlikely
On which side: Unknown

At present, it is impossible to tell in what capacity the Imperium will choose to become involved, or if they will even bother with the conflict to their East. The Imperium does not have much to gain from seeing FRT defeated, nor does it have much stake in the outcome if FRT + Horde + HRE end up defeating the Russians and Legacy. Given that the Imperium partnered with Legacy in last summer’s War of Reckoning, if the Imperium gets involved at all, one would expect it to be on the side of the Russians against FRT. However, it’s also possible the Imperium would decide they do not want to see Legacy get too powerful, and may take this opportunity to knock Legacy down a peg and ensure that the Imperium remains New Eden’s dominant power. Given the amount of conflict between Goonswarm and TEST in Goonswarm’s newly acquired Period Basis region, it is not out of the realm of possibility that Goonswarm may third party against TEST and the rest of Legacy. With all that said, the Imperium has a long-standing relationship with Red Menace Coalition, who may call in old friends to aid them. Imperium leadership have yet to make an official statement on the issue, so only time will tell what they will choose to do.

What do you think, readers? Are there other parties you expect to see involved in the fighting, or do you agree/disagree about the likelihood of any of these parties joining the war or which side they will join on?

 

[Editor’s note: An earlier version of this article referred to RAZOR Alliance as an independent entity. However, INN has confirmed that they are members of the Russian coalition, and the article has been updated.]

Let your voice be heard! Submit your own article to Imperium News here!

Would you like to join the Imperium News staff? Find out how!

Comments

  • Duan Dianxing

    stand with RMC,goons.

    March 4, 2019 at 7:38 am
    • Axhind Duan Dianxing

      We just need TCF back and RSF can start again 🙂

      March 4, 2019 at 8:18 am
  • Punky260

    From all information sources I have, RZR actually IS part of the new Russian coalition. They are partners with XIX and have earned some respect there – as well as rounding up the timezone the russians can fight in, so it’s also a tactical benefit.
    Do you have other sources (like high ranked members of RZR) or did you assume their standings?

    Also: I really don’t see the Imperium joining in against Legacy. The only reason the Imperium would get interest in this war is if it escalated, totally agree with you there, but IF it escalates, the Imperium would 100% jump in against the Panfam groups, who would be fighting against Legacy.

    March 4, 2019 at 7:43 am
    • Axhind Punky260

      Period Basis is just skirmishing as it’s close to both and outside of respective capital umbrellas. Test is not insane enough to invade and we are too busy krabing to invade them. It’s just for fun.

      But if shit hits the fan we are going to be on their side. No way we would side with panfam or against Russians.

      March 4, 2019 at 10:11 am
    • J Moravia Punky260

      It wasn’t that I assumed RAZOR’s standings, just that I haven’t seen anything specific indicating they were a part of the Russian coalition. It’s possible there was such an announcement and I missed it, so if you know of anything, could you link it here?

      Thanks!

      March 4, 2019 at 11:10 am
      • J Moravia J Moravia

        Just for anyone following this thread, the comment by Forkrul Assail does refer to RAZOR as “the only english speaking alliance in the new russian coalition,” so that has indeed been confirmed.

        March 4, 2019 at 6:34 pm
        • Punky260 J Moravia

          Yes, nice he put some light on the situation.

          To be clear, the “assumption” comment wasn’t mean offensive. My sources are usually line members (and some insight left from FCON times), so I was honestly interested.

          Keep the reports up, pls 🙂

          March 6, 2019 at 8:24 am
  • Forkrul Assail

    I am afraid i have to put some corrections in here on several issues.

    1. X.I.X and -RZR- lived in Legacy space only for about 3 month. X.I.X and -RZR- conquered Tenerifis with Legacy support in september and we have lived there together ever since.

    2. X.I.X and -RZR- have been on friendly terms ever since -RZR- staged a friendly invasion of Geminate for training purposes in 2013. Relations only deepened when -RZR- joined DRF after the casino war in 2016 and fought alongside them in several smaller and bigger conflicts and we stood with them, when all other alliances left, after the final loss of Insmother. If you want to understand the relation between X.I.X and -RZR- the speach of Pandoro89, held in may 2018, when the war for Insmother was finally lost and both alliances were on their lowest, is a good point to start: https://soundcloud.com/pan-doro/allymeeting/s-XQc6p So yes, -RZR- is atm. the only english speaking alliance in the new russian coalition.

    3. Bright Side of Death does not live in Tenerifis but in Scalding Pass. So there is no independent group that could be called “Residents of the Tenerifis Region”. I’m not sure where the information for that part comes from tbh. However:

    4. “The Independent Residents of Scalding Pass” will probably play a role over the next month. They are currently under siege by Skill U and FRT and are getting support from Legacy and our fleets on an irregular basis. So it is to be assumed, they will continue their fight in the future. I`d include Bright Side of Death, INK., VIT.C, BZK and NET into this group, but i might have something wrong here.

    With best regards,

    Forkrul Assail

    -RZR- Military Command

    March 4, 2019 at 12:48 pm
    • J Moravia Forkrul Assail

      Thanks very much for the detailed summary, and I have updated the article to reflect the corrected information. In the past I have not been able to make contact with anyone from RAZOR when I have reached out for comment on battle reports and such. Would you mind if I contacted you in game when I’m looking for an official position from RAZOR on military matters?

      Thanks!

      March 4, 2019 at 6:23 pm
      • Forkrul Assail J Moravia

        sure, feel free 😉

        March 4, 2019 at 8:10 pm
  • Zaand

    Huh, so that’s where Razor went.

    March 4, 2019 at 8:11 pm
  • Blake Berry

    I think goons would “side” with Legacy. The imperium installing renters in period basis is my only reason behind this. Test has renters next door in Paragon Soul and Goons have/will have renters in Period Basis. That leaves a nice buffer between the two sides. I don’t think that Goons would like the Frat pack as close to delve as they could be if Test lost some sov in PS.

    March 5, 2019 at 2:35 am
  • I, for one, would go help RAZOR. I remember fighting some awful, protracted fuckfest down south (I think it was the apogee of Delve 1?) and after endless meatgrinder battles over various structures, seeing a fleet of RZR Armageddons show up at our staging station to lend a hand. All the ships were named, “Disposable Razor.” I was happy to see them.

    March 5, 2019 at 6:53 am
    • Hjalte Ganthrithor

      your more than welcome! we always welcome pvp focused players!

      March 7, 2019 at 3:07 pm